The sour economy may not be bitter enough to keep President Barack Obama from a sweet victory in November. And he might just do it without the benefit of Florida’s 29 electoral votes, according to an election forecast released today by Moody’s Analytics.
Moody’s Analytics, the economic reserach arm of Moody’s Corporation, predicts the president will capture 303 electoral votes, more than the 270 needed, to 235 for the yet-to-be-determined Republican challenger.
As for Florida, it’s rated as one of the three tossup states. Moody’s Analytics projects Obama will lose by an eyelash here with 49.8 percent of the vote. The other tossups are Virginia and Ohio, where the president is slightly favored.
Moody’s Analytics models its presidential forecast based on factors of economic growth. They concluded that jobs and income growth will be high enough to push Obama over the finish line. Moody says the results could change if actual growth is less than forecast and plans to rerun its model between now and the election.
- Scott Bihr
