The stars, and the polls,  appear to be aligned for a convicing victory by Mitt Romney in the Florida Republican presidential primary on Tuesday.

Six polls have been released over the past two days and each one shows Romney with a lead over rival Newt Gingrich, ranging  from 5 to 20 points. An average of the polls finds  Romney in front by a commanding 13 percent (41.7-28.7 percent). 

The evidence is clear: With all the polls in agreement and Romney’s margin growing each day, it’s difficult, if not impossible,  to see how Gingrich can prevail at this point.

Public Policy Polling: Romney 39 percent, Gingrich 31, Rick Santorum 15, Ron Paul 11.

Quinnipiac: Romney 43, Gingrich 29, Santorum 11, Paul 11.

Sufflolk: Romney 47, Gingrich 27, Santorum 12, Paul 9.

Insider Advantage: Romney 36, Gingrich 31, Santorum 12, Paul 12.

Rasmussen: Romney 44, Gingrich 28, Santorum 12, Paul 10.

Survey USA: Romney 41, Gingrich 26, Santorum 12, Paul 12. 

- Scott Bihr

While two polls released late last night show Newt Gingrich cutting Mitt Romney’s lead in the Florida Republican presidential primary to single digits, a Suffolk Univeristy poll out today finds the opposite. Suffolk gives Romney an enormous  20-point advantage.
There’s several factors at work here.  Polling primary voters can be problematic because support for candidates tends to be soft and prone to wild swings. Basically, a pollster must model the electorate’s demographics to determine who is going to vote. In a primary where voter turnout tends to be low, figuring out who is going to vote and for which candidate can be an inexact science.

Suffolk University: Romney 47 percent, Gingrich 27, Rick Santorum 12, Ron Paul 9.

- Scott Bihr

Two polls taken Sunday and released late tonight show a small  bounce for Newt Gingrich in the Florida Republican presidential primary.

Public Policy Polling (PPP) and Insider Advantage find Gingrich narrowing Mitt Romney’s lead before Tuesday’s vote. Romney leads by 7  points in the PPP poll and 5 in the Insider Advantage survey.

It’s too early to say if these polls are indicative of a Gingrich surge or merely a blip on the radar. Polls released today have been all over the map, with Romney leading by as much as 16 points and as few as 5.

At this point, we need more information and will wait for additional polls to be released Monday to make a determination if there is a real Gingrich trend.

Tonight’s late polls:

Public Policy Polling: Romney 39 percent, Gingrich 32, Rick Santorum 14, Ron Paul 11.

Insider Advantage: Romney 36, Gingrich 31, Santorum 12, Paul 12.

- Scott Bihr

Mitt Romney continues to maintain a solid lead in the race for Florida’s 50 delegates in Tuesday’s winner-take-all Republican presidential primary, according to a new poll.

A Public Policy Polling survey released tonight shows Romney holding steady with an 8-point lead over rival Newt Gingrich.  This result jibes with most other polls released over the last few days that show Romney with a firm 8-9 point advantage and hovering around 40 percent.

With almost all polls in agreement, it appears that Romney is poised to prevail in Tuesday’s primary, barring an 11th-hour surprise.

Public Policy Polling: Romney 40 percent, Gingrich 32, Rick Santorum 15, Ron Paul 9.

- Scott Bihr